Free_your_mind Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Macnamara said: Computer code for Prof Lockdown's model which predicted 500,000 would die from Covid-19 and inspired Britain's 'Stay Home' plan is a 'mess which would get you fired in private industry' say data experts Professor Neil Ferguson's Imperial College London coding branded 'unreliable' University of Edinburgh scientists ran the same model and had different results Model was criticised early on by University of Oxford and public health expert Prof Ferguson left the government's Sage group after breaking lockdown rules Here’s how to help people impacted by Covid-19 By Vanessa Chalmers Health Reporter For Mailonline and Luke May Published: 09:24, 17 May 2020 | Updated: 16:49, 17 May 2020 Scientists have levelled a flurry of criticism against Professor Neil Ferguson's modelling which warned 500,000 people could die from coronavirus and prompted Britain to go into lockdown. Modelling from Imperial College London epidemiologist Professor Ferguson, who stepped down from the government's Sage group at the start of May, has been described as 'totally unreliable' by other experts. The coding that produced the sobering death figures was impossible to read, and therefore cast doubts on its strength, The Telegraph reported. It is also some 13 years old, it said. When other scientists have tried to replicate the findings using the same model, they have repeatedly failed to do. Prof Ferguson's model is understood to have single-handedly triggered a dramatic change in the Government's handling of the outbreak, as they moved away from herd immunity to a lockdown. Competing scientists' research - whose models produced vastly different results - has been largely discarded, they claim. David Richards, co-founder of British data technology company WANdisco said the model was a 'buggy mess that looks more like a bowl of angel hair pasta than a finely tuned piece of programming'. He said: 'In our commercial reality we would fire anyone for developing code like this and any business that relied on it to produce software for sale would likely go bust.' https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8327641/Coronavirus-modelling-Professor-Neil-Ferguson-branded-mess-experts.html you are not informed enough as an individual to be dictating to people what the real issues are. You would benefit greatly from winding your neck in and listening more [Robot voice] Copy. Paste. Copy. Paste. Repeat. Tea or coffee. Tea or coffee. 4 teas please. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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