trix
17-11-2009, 06:36 PM
http://www.vancouverite.com/2009/11/13/ontarios-deadly-swine-flu-surge-24-dead-in-72-hours/
I read this yesterday and of course, since that's where I'm from, I was worried at first. Then I remembered something after reading this line.
Ontario’s startling fatalities reported between November 10 and 11 a.m. EST on November 12 catapults the death toll from 37 reported on Nov. 10 to a total of 61. That is twice the figure of dead in Quebec and the highest of any province in Canada.
Ontario is Canada's highest populated province. By a lot. http://www40.statcan.gc.ca/l01/cst01/demo02a-eng.htm
The largest province has the largest amount of flu deaths. Not exactly shocking when you look at sheer numbers, right?
Canada has around 2500 people a year die of flu and we can safely assume this happens predominantly during fall, the flu season.
So, let's just assume that 1500 people die during the flu season which runs from November to April. Five months. So just doing my crappy rough math, 5x 30 days in a month is 150. So 150 days, roughly. In those 150 days, if we take the figure of 1500 flu deaths, we can expect 10 flu deaths a day over Canada.
24 deaths in the countries largest province is really not that shocking. Sure, it's over the average (that I crappily made up) but it's not through the roof. Statistics are flawed, we can see 100 deaths in one day and none for many others, so when you think of it like that, it's really not that insane.
Fear mongering? What's going on here. If it really is pneumonic plague that they have released, more people would be dead. Pneumonic plague - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
And on another note- hospitals ARE overrun. My mother works at one and she has to cancel scheduled surgeries because there are no beds. So maybe it IS swine flu that is causing people to get to the hospital, but maybe it is just the regular flu as well. Or hypochondriacs, who knows. She did say there are a lot of sick people and they don't have nearly enough ventilators.
I read this yesterday and of course, since that's where I'm from, I was worried at first. Then I remembered something after reading this line.
Ontario’s startling fatalities reported between November 10 and 11 a.m. EST on November 12 catapults the death toll from 37 reported on Nov. 10 to a total of 61. That is twice the figure of dead in Quebec and the highest of any province in Canada.
Ontario is Canada's highest populated province. By a lot. http://www40.statcan.gc.ca/l01/cst01/demo02a-eng.htm
The largest province has the largest amount of flu deaths. Not exactly shocking when you look at sheer numbers, right?
Canada has around 2500 people a year die of flu and we can safely assume this happens predominantly during fall, the flu season.
So, let's just assume that 1500 people die during the flu season which runs from November to April. Five months. So just doing my crappy rough math, 5x 30 days in a month is 150. So 150 days, roughly. In those 150 days, if we take the figure of 1500 flu deaths, we can expect 10 flu deaths a day over Canada.
24 deaths in the countries largest province is really not that shocking. Sure, it's over the average (that I crappily made up) but it's not through the roof. Statistics are flawed, we can see 100 deaths in one day and none for many others, so when you think of it like that, it's really not that insane.
Fear mongering? What's going on here. If it really is pneumonic plague that they have released, more people would be dead. Pneumonic plague - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
And on another note- hospitals ARE overrun. My mother works at one and she has to cancel scheduled surgeries because there are no beds. So maybe it IS swine flu that is causing people to get to the hospital, but maybe it is just the regular flu as well. Or hypochondriacs, who knows. She did say there are a lot of sick people and they don't have nearly enough ventilators.