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king
15-05-2007, 07:45 PM
$ is beginning the free fall

i ran into this "discovery" by accident, friend who is visiting the Europe told me that money exchanges are full of people who are exchanging their dollars to euros.


check the lates exchange rates:



Live rates at 2007.05.15 17:33:44 UTC
1.00 USD = 0.735483 EUR
United States Dollars Euro
1 USD = 0.735483 EUR 1 EUR = 1.35965 USD
http://www.xe.com/ucc/convert.cgi

it sure seems that they have taken the $ off life support and they are allowing the dollar free fall to begin.
has Queen's visit and white tie dinner had to do something
with this decision?

so, what would you do if you had tens of thousands of dollars in your bank?

would you immediately convert them to euros, would you buy gold or would you buy the property?

I know a few of the people who are in such situation, but i am sure it is millions of people like that who have dollars in their possession, for whatever reasons.


now, that $ is not the only "oil currency" -- who will need the $$$?

king
15-05-2007, 08:08 PM
A White-Tie Dinner for Queen’s White House Visit
Doug Mills/The New York Times

Prince Philip, Laura Bush, Queen Elizabeth II and President Bush arriving for Monday's state dinner.



Article Tools Sponsored By
By SHERYL GAY STOLBERG
Published: May 8, 2007

WASHINGTON, May 7 — Presidents come and go, but for more than half a century, the queen has always been the queen.
Skip to next paragraph
Multimedia
The Queen Visits the White HouseAudio Slide Show
The Queen Visits the White House
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Guests at the State Dinner (May 8, 2007)
More Information From Whitehouse.gov

So it was perhaps no surprise that Washington went a little gaga on Monday, as Queen Elizabeth II and her husband, Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh, began an official two-day visit to the capital.

Across the Atlantic, Helen Mirren, who won an Academy Award for her portrayal of Elizabeth in “The Queen,” shocked the British conscience over the weekend by turning down an invitation to dine at Buckingham Palace.

But on this side of the ocean, Her Majesty was making Americans go weak in the knees.

The White House was decorated to perfection for an exclusive white-tie dinner on Monday evening, with President Bush and the first lady, Laura Bush, playing host to the royal couple and 130 other A-list guests. But the morning was reserved for the masses — or, at least, the masses with the kind of connections that warrant an invitation to the formal arrival ceremony on the South Lawn.

Lucky ticket-holders — more than 7,000 of them — began lining up at 7 a.m. to get in: women in fine hats carrying floral bouquets, little girls in chiffon dresses, boys and men in their best suits, toting cameras and craning their necks for a glimpse of what one called “the real deal.”

Joy Green, whose daughter scored tickets by virtue of her job at the Justice Department, flew in from Selma, Ala., for the occasion. “I think we love it that they have a queen,” she said, explaining the American fascination, “and we’re glad that we don’t.”

At 10:56 a.m., six minutes past schedule, she arrived, a small woman in a black and white hat, white gloves, a white jacket and black skirt. Drums rolled and trumpets blared. There was a gasp in the crowd, and a squeal: “I see her! I see the queen!”

It was a day for pomp and circumstance — a military color guard, a fife and drum band in white wigs, red jackets and tricornered hats — punctuated by a presidential slip of the tongue that lightened the moment during Mr. Bush’s welcoming remarks. Mr. Bush reminded the 81-year-old queen that she had already dined with 10 American presidents.

“You helped our nation celebrate its bicentennial in 17 —— ” he went on, stopping to correct himself before 1776 could slip out. The crowd erupted in laughter, and the president and the queen turned to each other for a long, silent gaze. Then, Mr. Bush turned back to the crowd with an explanation. “She gave me a look,” he said, “that only a mother could give a child.”

Mr. Bush had been the recipient of such a look once before in the queen’s presence — from his own mother, back in 1991, when the first President and Mrs. Bush played host to their own state dinner for the queen. By several different accounts, including Mr. Bush’s own, Barbara Bush told the queen that she had seated her son far away from Her Majesty, for fear he might make a wisecrack.

Then, to his mother’s horror, he did, telling the queen that he was his family’s black sheep and asking, “Who’s yours?” The queen, apparently not amused, replied tartly, “None of your business.”

If the queen was not amused on Monday, she did not show it. “I’m sure she accepted it for what it was — a slip of the tongue,” said her press secretary, Penny Russell-Smith. The ceremony was laden with pleasantries and reminders of the close ties between the two nations, as well as a brief foreign policy lecture from Mr. Bush, who made clear that Iraq was not far from his mind as he thanked the queen for “your leadership during these times of danger and decision.”

The queen, in turn, thanked the president, for “this opportunity to underline the extent of our friendship — past, present and future.”

The royal visit began last week with a trip to Jamestown, the original English settlement in Virginia, and will conclude Tuesday with a visit by the queen and Prince Philip to the Children’s National Medical Center, and another dinner, this one at the British Embassy.

For the White House, the visit is a welcome break, a chance for a beleaguered administration to catch its breath and ready itself for what Mrs. Bush promised would be “a fun and festive evening.” She spoke to reporters on Monday afternoon, to offer a sneak preview of the evening affair.

The State Dining Room was brimming with white roses, vermeil centerpieces and pearl-handled flatware. The five-course menu, featuring “spring pea soup with fern leaf lavender,” “saddle of spring lamb,” and three different wines, was set. Dessert petit-fours were on silver platters for the press corps to taste. The chief florist, Nancy Clarke, was busy checking petals and stems.

The guest list, a must-read for Washingtonians, offered a smattering of surprises: Colin Powell, the former secretary of state, who openly criticized the administration over the interrogation of terror suspects; Senator Trent Lott, the Mississippi Republican who lost his leader’s job in 2002 after the White House helped orchestrate a coup; and Calvin Borel, the jockey who rode the winning horse at the Kentucky Derby. (The queen attended Saturday’s race.) Itzhak Perlman, the violinist, was the featured entertainment.

The dinner is the first, a
nd probably the only, white-tie event of the Bush administration, and Mrs. Bush confessed Monday to what is by now an open secret: she enlisted Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to talk Mr. Bush into wearing formal attire. “We thought if we were ever going to have a white-tie event,” Mrs. Bush said, “this would be the one.”

---------------


in order to understand all of this -- you better download and listen the audio clip at end of my post that discusses white tie dinner, with all of that masonic black/white/red symbolism, what is the significance of Jamestown, the original English settlement in Virginia, first colony and $ fall.
I think that dude has hit the bullseye!
I am not going to spoil this for you, so you better listen to

A View from Space 5/12/07
Queen Elizabeth's visit to USA inc.
Pilgrim Society
Phi Beta Kappa
http://www.megaupload.com/i/?r=045a715809472ce35cf593232fa873d4a8b43e208a2f7f7 5fd87eaef30fa87e9ff5333ef7f7eb8b7c13c3043c76310494 896f5cb58a7b8f32db21440b0d9be30aaa67b86ca9ea6fac58 7411cae6a54f42e484a2fd75e8e0fe8b30378c49910c7ddfd9 7ed1c936e32f1a2aac7648036a8f0f31a490606481ec90ffd8 793524d3574a55d7aca74a055979ae941f0353b49fb73086b6 f7170248ff97f537554


thank Teslafire for audio clip.

tru3
15-05-2007, 08:23 PM
$ is beginning the free fall

i ran into this "discovery" by accident, friend who is visiting the Europe told me that money exchanges are full of people who are exchanging their dollars to euros.


check the lates exchange rates:



Live rates at 2007.05.15 17:33:44 UTC
1.00 USD = 0.735483 EUR
United States Dollars Euro
1 USD = 0.735483 EUR 1 EUR = 1.35965 USD
http://www.xe.com/ucc/convert.cgi

it sure seems that they have taken the $ off life support and they are allowing the dollar free fall to begin.
has Queen's visit and white tie dinner had to do something
with this decision?

so, what would you do if you had tens of thousands of dollars in your bank?

would you immediately convert them to euros, would you buy gold or would you buy the property?

I know a few of the people who are in such situation, but i am sure it is millions of people like that who have dollars in their possession, for whatever reasons.


now, that $ is not the only "oil currency" -- who will need the $$$?

yea, it's interesting timing about "her royal heinous", isn't it?

she was at the kentucky derby last weekend. if it was up to me, we would have had a roadblock at the state line. :D

it's quite likely she tried to come and rein in her american regent.

here's the euro to dollar forecast
http://www.forecasts.org/images/exchange-rate/euro.gif

http://www.forecasts.org/euro.htm

imo, it's going to be 'worse' than that, for $ holders.

watch the chinese yuan. china holds more u.s. paper than anyone.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/HJ19Ad01.html

with respect to precious metals, that would probably be a good bet, preferrable to dollars, but who knows? that can be manipulated as well.

http://www.gata.org/node/11

king
15-05-2007, 08:43 PM
yea, it's interesting timing about "her royal heinous", isn't it?

she was at the kentucky derby last weekend. if it was up to me, we would have had a roadblock at the state line. :D

it's quite likely she tried to come and rein in her american regent.

here's the euro to dollar forecast
http://www.forecasts.org/images/exchange-rate/euro.gif

http://www.forecasts.org/euro.htm

imo, it's going to be 'worse' than that, for $ holders.

watch the chinese yuan. china holds more u.s. paper than anyone.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/HJ19Ad01.html

with respect to precious metals, that would probably be a good bet, preferrable to dollars, but who knows? that can be manipulated as well.

http://www.gata.org/node/11

tru,

yes, it sure looks like that Queen's visit and all white tie dinner (first one ever) was the signal that $ has to be taken off the life support.

i would not be suprised if either Amero, or electrinic currency will be their next push "to save the economy".

i got the feeling that idea of 'electronic money' will be pushed firsts, and if that idea is not accepted then here comes Amero.
And, with it -- new set of problems.

this shit is is begining to unfold.

BTW, do you know of any site that provides long term currency charts?


I'd like to compare $ vs euro in a visual way.

Anders Lindman
15-05-2007, 08:58 PM
I found this chart:

http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_EURUSD&v=dmax

In early 2005 the graph shows similar levels as today. It doesn't look really alarming, but I know very little about currencies and how they fluctuate.

tru3
15-05-2007, 09:09 PM
tru,

yes, it sure looks like that Queen's visit and all white tie dinner (first one ever) was the signal that $ has to be taken off the life support.

i would not be suprised if either Amero, or electrinic currency will be their next push "to save the economy".

i got the feeling that idea of 'electronic money' will be pushed firsts, and if that idea is not accepted then here comes Amero.
And, with it -- new set of problems.

this shit is is begining to unfold.

BTW, do you know of any site that provides long term currency charts?


I'd like to compare $ vs euro in a visual way.

couldn't find one. the curve on yours pretty much looks like the curve on mine.

re: cashless society. yes. probably all precious metals will be required to be turned in, at some point.

next stop: 'chipville. no chippee, no money, friend.

getting rid of the dollar for the amero is as much about psychological warfare, imv. one way to turn us into "global citizens", mentally.

it is unfolding, fer sure.

Anders Lindman
15-05-2007, 09:18 PM
This chart can show data back to 1983 (by selecting time scale: Monthly):

http://www.dailyfx.com/charts/Chart.html?symbol=EUR/USD

king
16-05-2007, 02:06 AM
couldn't find one. the curve on yours pretty much looks like the curve on mine.

re: cashless society. yes. probably all precious metals will be required to be turned in, at some point.

next stop: 'chipville. no chippee, no money, friend.

getting rid of the dollar for the amero is as much about psychological warfare, imv. one way to turn us into "global citizens", mentally.


it could be. all of it.
or maybe the $$ is FUCKED because they do not want it to keep propping it anylonger?


it is unfolding, fer sure.

yap

BTW, this is a good read:


AMERICA'S ACUPUNCTURE POINTS

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/HJ19Ad01.html

PART 1: Striking the US where it hurts
By Victor N Corpus

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

A noted Chinese theorist on modern warfare, Chang Mengxiong, compared China's form of fighting to "a Chinese boxer with a keen
knowledge of vital body points who can bring an opponent to his



knees with a minimum of movements". It is like key acupuncture points in ancient Chinese medicine. Puncture one vital point and the whole anatomy is affected. If America ever goes to war with China, say, over Taiwan, then America should be prepared for the following "acupuncture points" in its anatomy to be "punctured". Each of the vital points can bring America to its knees with a minimum of effort.

I Electro-magnetic Pulse (EMP) attack
China and Russia are two potential US adversaries that have the capability for this kind of attack. An EMP attack can either come from an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), a submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM), a long-range cruise missile, or an orbiting satellite armed with a nuclear or non-nuclear EMP warhead. A nuclear burst of one (or more) megaton some 400 kilometers over central United States (Omaha, Nebraska) can blanket the whole continental US with electro-magnetic pulse in less than one second.

An EMP attack will damage all electrical grids on the US mainland. It will disable computers and other similar electronic devices with microchips. Most businesses and industries will shut down. The entire US economy will practically grind to a halt. Satellites within line of sight of the EMP burst will also be damaged, adversely affecting military command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (C4ISR). Land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles will be rendered unserviceable in their silos. Anti-ballistic missile defenses will suffer the same fate. In short – total blackout. And American society as we know it will be thrown back to the Dark Ages.

Of course, the US may decide to strike first, but China and Russia now have the means of striking back with submarine-launched ballistic missiles with the same or even more devastating results. But knowing China's strategy of "active defense", when war with the US becomes imminent, China will surely not allow itself to be targeted first. It will seize the initiative as mandated by its doctrine by striking first.

China has repeatedly announced that it will not be the first to use nuclear weapons. But as an old Chinese saying goes: "There can never be too much deception in war." If it means the survival of the whole Chinese nation that is at stake, China will surely not allow a public statement to tie its hands and prevent it from seizing the initiative. As another saying goes: "All is fair in love and war."

2 Cyber attack
America is the most advanced country in the world in the field of information technology (IT). Practically all of its industries, manufacturing, business and finance, telecommunications, key government services and defense establishment rely heavily on computers and computer networks.

But this heavy dependence on computers is a double-edged sword. It has thrust the US economy and defense establishment ahead of all other countries; but it has also created an Achilles' heel that can potentially bring the superpower to its knees with a few keystrokes on a dozen or so laptops.

China's new concept of a "people's war" includes IT warriors coming, not only from its military more than 2-million strong, but from the general citizenry of some 1.3 billion people. If we add the hackers and information warriors from Russia, Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba, Syria and other countries sympathetic to China, the cyber attack on the US would be formidable indeed.

So, if a major conflict erupts between China and America, more than a few dozen laptops will be engaged to hack America's military establishment; banking system; stock exchange; defense industries; telecommunication system; power grids; water system; oil and gas pipeline system; air traffic and train traffic control systems; C4ISR system, ballistic missile system, and other systems that prop up the American way of life.

America, on the whole, has not adequately prepared itself for this kind of attack. Neither has it prepared itself for a possible EMP attack. Such attacks can bring a superpower like America to its knees with a minimum of movement.

3 Interdiction of US foreign oil supply
America is now 75% dependent on foreign imported oil. About 23.5% of America's imported oil supply comes from the Persian Gulf. To cut off this oil supply, Iran can simply mine the Strait of Hormuz, using bottom-rising sea mines. It is worthwhile to note that Iran has the world's fourth-largest inventory of sea mines, after China, Russia and the US.

Combined with sea mines, Iran can also block the narrow strait with supersonic cruise missiles such as Yakhonts, Moskits, Granits and Brahmos deployed on Abu Musa Island and all along the rugged and mountainous coastline of Iran fronting the Persian Gulf. This single action can bring America to its knees. Not only America but Japan (which derives 90% of its oil supply) and Europe (which derives about 60% of its oil supply from the Persian Gulf ) will be adversely affected.

In the event of a major conflict involving superpower America and its allies (primarily Japan and Britain) on the one hand and China and its allies (primarily Russia and Iran) on the other, Iran's role will become strategically crucial. Iran can totally stop the flow of oil coming from the Persian Gulf. This is the main reason why China and Russia are carefully nurturing intimate economic, cultural, political, diplomatic and military ties with Iran, which at one time was condemned by US President George W Bush as belonging to that "axis of evil", along with Iraq and North Korea.

This is also the reason why Iran is so brave in daring the US to attack it on the nuclear proliferation issue. Iran knows that it has the power to hurt the US. Without oil from the Gulf, the war machines of the US and its principal allies will literally run out of gas.

A single blow from Iran or China or Russia, or a combination of the three at the Strait of Hormuz can paralyze America. In addition, Chinese and Russian submarines can stop the flow of oil to the US and Japan by interdicting oil tanker traffic coming from the Middle East, Africa and Latin America. On the other hand, US naval supremacy will have minimal effect on China's oil supply because it is already connected to Kazakhstan with a pipeline and will soon be connected to Russia and Iran as well.

One wonders: what will be the price of oil if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz. It will surely drive oil prices sky high. Prolonged high oil prices can, in turn, trigger inflation in the US and a sharp decline of the dollar, possibly even a dollar free-fall. The collapse of the dollar will have a serious impact on the entire US economy.

This brings us to the next "acupuncture point" in the US anatomy: dollar vulnerability.

4 Attack on the US dollar
One of the pillars propping up US superpower status and worldwide economic dominance is the dollar being accepted as the predominant reserve currency. Central banks of various countries have to stock up dollar reserves because they can only buy their oil requirements and other major commodities in US dollars.

This US economic strength, however, is a double-edged sword and can turn out to be America's economic Achilles' heel. A run of the US dollar, for instance, which would cause a dollar free-fall, can bring the entire US economy toppling down.

What is frightening for the US is the fact that China, Russia and Iran possess the power to cause a run on the US dollar and force its collapse.

China is now the biggest holder of foreign exchange reserves in the world, accumulating $941 billion as of June 30 and expected to exceed a trillion dollars by the end of 2006 - a first in world history. A decision by China to shift a major portion of its reserve to the euro or the yen or gold could trigger other central banks to follow suit. Nobody would want to be left behind holding a bagfull of dollars rapidly turning worthless. The herd psychology would be very difficult to control in this case because national economic survival would be at stake.

This global herd psychology motivated by the survival instinct will be strongly reinforced by the latent anger of many countries in the Middle East, Eurasia, Southeast Asia, Africa and Latin America that silently abhor the pugnacious arrogance displayed by the lone Superpower in the exercise of its unilateral and militaristic foreign policies. They will just be too happy to dump the dollar and watch the lone Superpower squirm and collapse.

The danger of the dollar collapsing is reinforced by the mounting US current account deficit, which sky-rocketed to $900 billion at an annual rate in the fourth quarter of 2005. This figure is 7% of US gross domestic product (GDP), the largest in US history. The current account deficit reflects the imbalance of US imports to its exports. The large imbalance shows that the US economy is losing its competitiveness, with US jobs and incomes suffering as a result.

These record deficits in external trade and current accounts mean that the US has to borrow from foreign lenders (mostly Japan and China) $900 billion annually or nearly $2.5 billion every single day to finance the gap between payments and receipts from the rest of the world. In financial year 2005, $352 billion was spent on interest payment of national debt alone - a national debt that has ballooned to $8.5 trillion as of August 24.

The International Monetary Fund has warned: "The US is on course to increase its net external liabilities to around 40% of its GDP within the next few years - an unprecedented level of external debt for a large industrial country."

The picture of the US federal budget deficit is equally grim. Dennis Cauchon, writing for USA Today said:

The federal government keeps two sets of books. The set the government promotes to the public has a healthier bottom line: a $318 billion deficit in 2005. The set the government doesn't talk about is the audited financial statement produced by the government's accountants following standard accounting rules. It reports a more ominous financial picture: a $760 billion deficit for 2005. If social security and medicare were included - as the board that sets accounting rules is considering - the federal deficit would have been $3.5 trillion. Congress has written its own accounting rules - which would be illegal for a corporation to use because they ignore important costs such as the growing expense of retirement benefits for civil servants and military personnel. Last year, the audited statement produced by the accountants said the government ran a deficit equal to $6,700 for every American household. The number given to the public put the deficit at $2,800 per household ... The audited financial statement - prepared by the Treasury Department - reveals a federal government in far worse financial shape than official budget reports indicate, a USA Today analysis found. The government has run a deficit of $2.9 trillion since 1997, according to the audited number. The official deficit since then is just $729 billion. The difference is equal to an entire year's worth of federal spending.

The huge US current account and trade deficits, the mounting external debt and the ever-increasing federal budget deficits are clear signs of an economy on the edge. They have dragged the dollar to the brink of the precipice. Such a state of economic affairs cannot be sustained for long, and the stability of the dollar is put in grave danger. One push and the dollar will plunge into free-fall. And that push can come from China, Russia or Iran, whom superpower America has been pushing and bullying all along.

We have seen what China can do. How can Russia or Iran, in turn, cause a dollar downfall? On September 2, 2003, Russia and Saudi Arabia signed an agreement on oil and gas cooperation. Russia and Saudi Arabia have agreed "to exercise joint control over the dynamics of prices for raw materials on foreign markets". The two biggest oil and gas producers, in cooperation, say, with Iran, could control oil production and sales to keep the price of oil relatively high. Sustained high oil prices, in turn, could trigger a high inflation rate in the US and put extreme pressure on the already weak dollar to trigger a more rapid decline.

Russia is now the world's biggest energy supplier, surpassing Saudi Arabia in energy exports measured in barrel oil equivalent or boe (13.3 million boe per day for Russia vs 10 million boe per day for Saudi Arabia). Russia has the biggest gas reserves in the world. Iran, on the other hand, runs second in the world to Russia in gas reserves, and also ranks among the top oil producers. If and when either Russia or Iran, or both, shift away from a rapidly declining dollar in energy transactions, many oil producers will follow suit. These include Venezuela, Indonesia, Norway, Sudan, Nigeria and the Central Asian Republics.

There is a good chance that even Saudi Arabia and the other oil-exporting countries in the Middle East may follow suit. They wouldn't want to be left with fast-shrinking dollars when the shift from petro-dollar to euro-dollar occurs. Again, the herd psychology will come into play, and the US will eventually be left with a dollar that is practically worthless. Considering the strong anti-American sentiments in the world caused by American unilateralism, especially in the Middle East, a concerted effort to dump the dollar in favor of the euro becomes even more plausible.

When the dollar was removed from the gold standard in August 1971, the dollar gained its strength through its use as the currency of choice in oil transactions. Once the dollar is rejected in favor of the euro or another currency for global oil transactions, the dollar will rapidly lose its value and central banks all over the world will be racing to diversify to other currencies. The shift from petro-dollar to petro-euro will have a devastating effect on the dollar. It could cause the dollar to collapse; and the whole US economy crushing down with it - a scene reminiscent of the collapse of the Twin Towers on September 11, 2001. But this one will be a thousand times more devastating.

A successful assault on the US dollar will make America crawl on its knees with a minimum of movements. And this assault can come from China, Russia or Iran - or a combination of the three - if they ever decide that they have had enough of US bullying.

5 Diplomatic isolation
In 1991, when the Soviet Union collapsed from its own weight, the US emerged as the sole superpower in the world. At that crucial period, it would have been a great opportunity for the US to establish its global leadership and dominance worldwide. With the world's biggest economy, its control of international financial institutions, its huge lead in science and technology (specially information technology) and its unequaled military might, America could have seized the moment to establish a truly American Century.

But in the critical years after 1991, America had to make a choice between two divergent approaches to the use of its almost unlimited power: soft power or hard power. The exercise of soft power would have seen America leading the world in the fight against poverty, disease, drugs, environmental degradation, global warming and other ills plaguing humankind.

It would have pushed America in leading the move to address the debt burden of poor, undeveloped or developing countries; promoting distance learning in remote rural areas to empower the poor economically by providing them access to quality education; and helped poor countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America build highways, railways, ports, airports, hospitals, schools and telecommunication systems.

Unfortunately, such was not to be. If there was any effort at the exercise of soft power at all, it was minimal. In fact, it is not America which is practicing soft power in diplomacy but a rising power in the East - China. China has been busy in the past decade or so exercising soft power in almost all countries in Africa, Latin America, Central Asia, Southeast Asia, South Asia and the Middle East, winning most of the countries in these regions to its side. Through the use of soft power, China has created a de facto global united front under its silent, low-key leadership.

The US, on the other hand, decided to employ mainly hard power in the exercise of its global power. It adapted the policy of unilateralism and militarism in its foreign policy. It discarded the United Nations and even the advice of close allies. It unilaterally discarded signed international treaties (such as the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty). It adapted the policy of regime change and preventive war. It led the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in the 78-day bombing of Serbia purportedly for "humanitarian" reasons. It invaded Afghanistan and Iraq without UN sanctions and against the advice of key European allies like France and Germany.

The US-led war in Iraq was a tactical victory for the US initially, but has resulted in strategic defeat overall. The Iraq war caused the US to lose its principal allies in Europe and be isolated, despised and hated in many parts of the world. Without too many friends and allies, the US is likened to an "emperor with no clothes".

So in a major conflict between America and China, isolated America cannot possibly win against a global united front led by China and Russia.

This brings us to the question of alliances, another "acupuncture point" in the anatomy of the superpower, which will be addressed in the second part of this report.

Tomorrow, Part 2: Faced with a China-Russia-Iran triumvirate

Victor N Corpus is a retired brigadier general of the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP); former chief of the Intelligence Service, AFP; and holds a master's degree in public administration from the Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University.

(Copyright 2006 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us about sales, syndication and republishing.)

Speaking Freely is an Asia Times Online feature that allows guest writers to have their say. Please click here if you are interested in contributing.

king
16-05-2007, 07:56 AM
have any one of you invested in gold or some other currency or land/property?

spiritualone
17-05-2007, 01:01 AM
Yes I have invested in Gold in the past. They are making it more difficult to access Gold Bullion accounts recently. It wont be too long before they make it so difficult and costly, it wont be worth the effort.

carlg1212
17-05-2007, 01:12 AM
1 USD = 0.735483 EUR 1 EUR = 1.35965 USD


It was about 1:1.85 last fall, about 9 months ago, so technically, it's getting stronger.

Also, interest rates are increasing because of the inflated profits from businesses and housing costs, which weakens the dollar.

At least, that's what they told me in graduate finance class, but I think now that it's all manipulated so eventually, America ends up like ancient Rome: bankrupt, military stretched thin, morally corrupt, small elite class, lots of plebians........oh wait, that's already the way it is.

king
17-05-2007, 01:36 AM
It was about 1:1.85 last fall, about 9 months ago, so technically, it's getting stronger.


are you sure that was the ratio?
1 euro to 1.85 $?
that does not sound right.


Also, interest rates are increasing because of the inflated profits from businesses and housing costs, which weakens the dollar.
yap

At least, that's what they told me in graduate finance class, but I think now that it's all manipulated so eventually, America ends up like ancient Rome: bankrupt, military stretched thin, morally corrupt, small elite class, lots of plebians........oh wait, that's already the way it is.

yap again.
and if we take in consideration cost of fuel and increase of basic living expenses -- we are in a real deep doodoo.

timestop24
17-05-2007, 01:51 AM
have any one of you invested in gold or some other currency or land/property?

I bought my 1 bedroom house here in northern California for $80,000. Last time I checked the price its up to 130,000. So the real estate market is still pretty good in my area. I pay a fixed mortgage, so it never goes up. I have to admit it does suck living next to the railroad tracks. And my neighborhood isn't too great...:rolleyes:

Oh well.

king
17-05-2007, 04:20 AM
I bought my 1 bedroom house here in northern California for $80,000. Last time I checked the price its up to 130,000. So the real estate market is still pretty good in my area. I pay a fixed mortgage, so it never goes up. I have to admit it does suck living next to the railroad tracks. And my neighborhood isn't too great...:rolleyes:

Oh well.

and, who owns the property; you or the bank?

timestop24
17-05-2007, 04:34 AM
and, who owns the property; you or the bank?

I'd like to think I did. :D

king
17-05-2007, 06:30 AM
I'd like to think I did. :D

ha, ha, i know what you mean

did you pay off house in full or you are still making payments?
BTW, 80K for property in Northern CA is CHEAP!

timestop24
17-05-2007, 06:46 AM
I just bought it last year...so yeah still making payments. Im in my mid 20s so I have a long way to go...;)